LEVEL1 LEVEL2 LEVEL 3
Hands 511 447 300
WR - 15 - 24.3 + 29.3
Money - 3.07 - 10. 84 17. 50
Time 1.01 1.00 0.43
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RESULT - 3.07 - 10.84 + 17.50
of DAY
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TOTAL - 3.07 - 10.84 + 17.50
Thursday, 2 April 2020
Tuesday, 31 March 2020
TEST
First of all, I hope
everybody is fit and well.
I don't know if it is the right time for a test, 'cause so many people will try their skills in
poker sites right now, but I will do it anyway.
Many of yours, who are
following my trouble to beat 5 levels at Pokerstars, know, that I'm
still struggling at the level one. Then I started this challenge
for myself, I did play occasionally at level 3 (blinds
0.05/0.10), mostly for fun. I did not count my winnings (or beats),
but I felt, that I was a winning player at the time. At least, I did
not worry about TILT or how good or bad a player I am. Now after years,
after studying the game, it looks like my skills are much worse, then
they were at the beginning. It has been a very hard start for this year.
Losing, losing and losing again.
So, the plan is:
- Play on three levels at the same time for 21 days. Right now Pokerstars has the challenge to play at least 300 hands-on different levels. Starting LEVEL 2. So by doing that I (you) will give me (you) the possibility of even win some prize.
My levels are - LEVEL
1 (0.01/0.02), LEVEL 2 (0.02/0.05) and LEVEL 3 (0.05/0.10) Starting
tomorrow 1st of April
- I will post every day (days I do play) my results up here. I do encourage you to do the same here or in the secret in your homes.
After 21st
of April I will play on the level where my results are the best.
That's my plan and test. Play along.
Friday, 27 March 2020
RULE of 365
RULE of 3 6 5
RULE of 3 (FLOP
TEXTURE)
Holding the
third-best hand - FOLD
You didn't hit
anything, but holding a draw
Draw
alone is the fourth-best hand – any pair opponent does hit will beat your draw.
On
the flop, there are 3 possibilities, turn 4 and river 5. Even a pair of
the 2
If flop texture is ''wet'' – then your
best bet is to wait - not to bet out and hope to see the next streets
without spending any chips. Just call or fold.
Be cautious with Pocket Pair -2 outs, One
Overcard, it gives you 3 outs or with Inside Straight – 4 outs
only. Even do not call, if holding less then 6 outs. (RULE of the
SIX)
If flop texture is ''dry'' – then your
best bet is still to wait. The reason for this is very simple – players
at micro stake tend to stay in hand in every street. The passive part of
the players does not bet out without hitting. They usually still
call. Aggressive players will act out on the flop with
any two cards. They do not like fold later streets at all. It will be
very hard to bluff them out from the hand on the flop, turn or river if
your hand is not improving.
Then you have a good reading from the opponent –
folding too often on the flop or/and turn, you can bet out, but be
cautious, if they turn to be aggressive against your bet.
If you are holding overpair, bet out on the dry flop. Your hand might be the best, but if it will be changed on
later streets, back off from spending chips. You might end up with a third-best hand.
You did hit on
the flop and holding now the third pair in your hand.
Lucky days, or not? I would say: ''This is not a situation worth fighting''. Especially, if somebody in hand will show you an aggressive
play. They probably did hit something – even, if draw.
In micro
stakes players usually will bet out, if they hit.
At least most of them. Sometimes it will happen on the flop,
sometimes on the turn or river. Most certainly you can guess the card
they did hit - if they bet out on the turn, they did hit turn card or if
they bet on a river – they did hit river card. With flop it is a bit
harder – you have 3 cards to choose and all kinds of draws, Sure
there are slow players and passive players too, but slow players are a mostly rare breed. Slow play at the micro-stakes happens mostly with
made hands. It might be a high pair or overpair. This kind of play
will finish after the flop betting round most of the time. On the turn
most players will be in a hurry to get out value from the hand they are
holding.
RULE of 6 (SIX
OUTS) - BET
Bet, call or
fold – to be aggressive or not?
Pocket Pair to Set – 2
outs
You are holding One
Pair, it really doesn't matter how high.
What are you hoping to
accomplish on the next street? There is only one card to come in
every following street. Three of kind?
If you are holding
already two similar cards, there are only two of them in pack left.
Even that might not be true. Some of the players might hold or fold
them already.
Three of the kind will
beat, only one pair or two pairs. Also, you might be beaten with a higher pair. You have only two outs there.
You are holding one
pair and the table has a pair already. Now,
it is important how high is your pair. Higher then pair on the table
is better of course.
What are you hoping to accomplish on the next street? Full house,
right? Don't forget your opponents are hoping the same. They probably
did hit three of the kind already, if aggressive, or they are holding
high card Ace or King in hope that nobody did hit anything and
broadway card is coming on the very next street. And will prove their
hand.
You
have only two outs there.
One Overcard - 3 outs –
hold low profile or fold
Inside Straight – 4 outs -
same
Keep
in mind by folding you loose less and you are still in play
Two overcards, no draw possibilities - 6 outs.
Bet out at least in one street, to check the ground. If you have read from the opponent(s), act accordingly of course.
Two overcards,
straight or flush possible or both. ?It will push your hand to
be third best.
There is a big chance
somebody did hit straight or flush, or draw.
If your opponent is
playing for the draw, he/she should bet or call at least 2 streets –
flop and turn. Betting or calling only one street will lower their
possible win 5 % with inside straight draw till 30 % with open
straight + flush draw. And the right play will be to bet. Even,
if they are not thinking about right or wrong play, many of them
can't lay down draw hands anyway. Especially, if you are not betting
out.
Keep in the mind –
possibilities to win with two overcards (if not improving to full
house) will decrease in every next street. Possibilities to win with
straight or flush will increase in every next street.
Two
pairs to Full House
You have made hand already, even if your hand
will not improve. Worth to bet certainly. Aggressively or not, will up
to you readings from the opponent(s). If you like to stay in hand make
small bets, if not – bet out big to push other(s) out of the hand.
Set to Full House/
Four of kind 7 outs.
You
have made hand already. You will beat straight or flush
if hitting. You should be aggressive and bet. Even bet big to fear
opponents and not one but at least 2 streets. If you don't have cuts
for that, you will probably lose out lots of chips. By betting only
one street you will not be getting out the value of the hand if the hand
will improve. If you are not betting out, you are giving opponent(s) a good reason to be aggressive and push you out from hand, if not
hitting. You might lose one bet for nothing. Bet twice (at least), or
fold right away.
Open-Ended Straight
Draw 8 outs.
With flush draw possible, be
more cautious, but there are the same rules – bet twice or fold. Make
your mind up on the flop and follow your plan until the end of the hand.
Flush Draw 9 outs
Again,
right play will be bet and bet again. Is it on flop and turn, flop
and river or turn and river up to you...
From
now on:
Inside Straight +
Two Over cards 10 outs,
Inside Straight +
Flush Draw 12 outs,
Open Straight + Flush
Draw 15 outs,
Your +EV play and chance to the win is very high, therefore you should bet, bet and bet three streets,
if you like to stay in hand, or, raise the bet if you would like to
end hand here and now.
RULE of 5 (POT
ODDS)
Limping(calling)
multiway – if the amount of the chips you must put in the pot is more then 1/5 of
the pot, just FOLD. You will play – EV and in the long run, you will
lose. Even, if you will hit in some hands, it will not compensate all
the chips you did loose previously.
Tuesday, 14 January 2020
AIM FOR the YEAR 2020
AIM FOR the YEAR 2020
First of all – Thanks to everybody, who had time to read this blog. Over the years we had more than 5 500 clicks.
I hope, some of you did get bit inspiration by reading it. All the best to you all and keep following your dream(s) till you will get it :)
I hope, some of you did get bit inspiration by reading it. All the best to you all and keep following your dream(s) till you will get it :)
Nobody claimed 100 days challenge win at the end of last year. Too bad :(
I guess, this challenge was a bit too ambitious for micro stakes players. It saddens me to say, that I not completed challenge myself either. I did find out for myself, that it is almost hard to care if
winnings are so little and time you put in is so long.
Long story short – I
am still here and I will try to beat my goal. (Win 5 first levels at Pokerstars).
This is now the matter of pride :) not money. I got to do it.
This is now the matter of pride :) not money. I got to do it.
I'm still at level
one (NL2), with blinds $0.01/0.02.
To move on, and achieve the right to play at level 2, I will need to earn at least $120
My calculations:
It mostly is recommended, that the bankroll should be at
least 40 buy-ins at every level (1 buy-in = 100 BB). I agree with
that. It will give you 40 times the chance to enter and play the game. It
is not that important how you will put money (40 buy-ins) into the site. You can do it with
one go, or by small amounts, according to your winnings and losings. Just remember: Never put
in more than you can afford and be ready to lose it, without crying out
loud. :)
It's been said, that
bankroll is only for winning players. Therefore, I'm not calling it to bankroll,
but 40 chances to win at every level.
LEVEL 1 = 40 buy ins =
$80
LEVEL 2 = 40 buy ins =
$200
After all, to move on you got to be a winning player. There is the plain truth:
Marginal winning
player WR = 1,5 BB/100
100 hands = $0.03
1000 hands = $0.30 10 000 hands = $3 20 000 hands = $6
1 hour = 400 hands
(Zoom 6 max, 2 tables) Expected winnings = $ 0.12 per
hour
To earn $6 per day will take 20
000 hands and 50 hours (Not possible)
To earn $120, it
will take at least 400 000 hands and 1000 hours.
This is almost 42 full
days or 6 weeks without sleeping, eating and earning money somewhere else.
2, 5 hours play every
day/1000 hands per day will take you 400 days or 1 year, 1 month
and 5 more days to earn $120. After all that, you are ready to move on and play the next level.
Winning player WR
3 BB/100
100 hands = $0.06
1000 hands = $0.60 10 000 hands = $6 20 000 hands = $12
1 hour = 400 hands
expected winnings $0.24 per hour
To Earn $6 per day will take 10 000 hands and 25 hours = (Not possible)
To earn $120, it
will take at least 200 000 hands and 500 hours.
This
is almost 21 full days, or 3 weeks without sleeping, eating or earning money somewhere else to afford to play the game.
2,
5 hours play every day = 1000 hands per day, will take you 200 days which is almost 7 months to earn $120. After all that, you are ready to move on and play the next level.
Good winning player
WR 5 BB/100
100 hands = $0.10
1000 hands = $ 1 10 000 hands = $ 10 20 000 hands = $20
1 hour = 400 hands
expected winnings $ 0.40 per hour
To Earn $5 per day will take 5000 hands 12,5
hours (Not possible)
To earn $120, it
will take at least 120 000 hands and 300 hours.
This
is almost 12 full days and a half or almost 2 weeks without sleeping,
eating or earning money somewhere else to afford to play the game.
2,
5 hours play every day = 1000 hands per day will take you 120 days or
almost 4 months to earn $120. After all that, you are ready to move on and play the next level.
Top winning player
WR 8 BB/100
100 hands = $ 0.16
1000 hands = $ 1.60 10 000 hands = $16 20 000 hands = $ 32
1 hour = 400 hands
expected winnings $ 2
To Earn $5 per day will take 1000 hands and 2, 5 hours (Possible)
To earn $120, it
will take at least 75 000 hands and 187,5 hours.
This
is almost 8 full days, without sleeping, eating or earning money somewhere else to afford to play the game.
2,
5 hours play every day = 1000 hands per day will take you 75 days or
almost 2 and a half months to earn $120. After that, you are ready to move on and play the next level.
Is this doable? Is
it worth?
My excuse to try it again is:
Not
all days are equal. One day you might win and one day you might
lose. The aim is to win of course. My aim is to win $5 per day and not to
lose more than $5 per day. To earn a necessary $ 120, to move on will take up to 24 days. I will let you know the next 4 weeks how it goes for me weekly basis. Should it be + $120 or - $120.
Play with me :)
Wednesday, 1 January 2020
100 DAY CHALLENGE
Did bad :(.Could not finish it. Will try it again :) after little while
Hands 81 322 Money $ - 48.49
Hands 81 322 Money $ - 48.49
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